Transit Countries Roles
Transit nations serve as a mode of containment, hold the possibility for increased externalisation and might instrumentalise asylum-seeking migrants.
A (Optimist)
Equitable agreements ease border pressure and improve conditions
- Transit countries enhance human rights protection
- Transit countries improve their integration policies
- Improved living conditions in transit countries
- Some countries pursue asylum legislation and integration standards on a voluntary basis
- Regional solutions in nations or areas of immigrant origin decrease overall pressure on transit countries
B (Pessimist)
Instrumentalised immigrants, disintegrating political dialogue, increasing abuses and worsening conditions
- Neighbouring countries use asylum seekers to demand more resources to continue containment efforts
- The use of immigrants in hybrid warfare tactics becomes common place
- Abuse of visa-free regimes
- Increasing nationalism among transit country citizens, and further radicalisation of immigrants in transit countries with closed borders
- Transit countries abandoning of EU accession process / decreased willingness to align with EU asylum standards on a voluntary basis
C1 (Mediator)
Protected transit corridors assure asylum seekers safety of movement
- International organizations successfully operate protected transit corridors with some/key transit countries
- Special partnership agreements are developed with key transit countries, but are costly and do not work equally well
C2 (Mediator)
Broad adoption of remote asylum application processing de-incentivises improving international agreements or conditions
- Asylum claim processing for migrants located in transit countries (remote processing)
- Blossoming of bilateral agreements/statements (pushing problem on other countries, status quo extended)
D (Innovator)
Developed transit country labour markets and expanded refugee sponsorship programmes
- Improved economic and political stability of transit countries through labour market development
- Sponsorship programmes use remote processing to pair refugees with hosts