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Transit Countries Roles

Transit nations serve as a mode of containment, hold the possibility for increased externalisation and might instrumentalise asylum-seeking migrants.

A (Optimist)

Equitable agreements ease border pressure and improve conditions

  • Transit countries enhance human rights protection
  • Transit countries improve their integration policies
  • Improved living conditions in transit countries
  • Some countries pursue asylum legislation and integration standards on a voluntary basis
  • Regional solutions in nations or areas of immigrant origin decrease overall pressure on transit countries

B (Pessimist)

Instrumentalised immigrants, disintegrating political dialogue, increasing abuses and worsening conditions

  • Neighbouring countries use asylum seekers to demand more resources to continue containment efforts
  • The use of immigrants in hybrid warfare tactics becomes common place
  • Abuse of visa-free regimes
  • Increasing nationalism among transit country citizens, and further radicalisation of immigrants in transit countries with closed borders
  • Transit countries abandoning of EU accession process / decreased willingness to align with EU asylum standards on a voluntary basis

C1 (Mediator)

Protected transit corridors assure asylum seekers safety of movement

  • International organizations successfully operate protected transit corridors with some/key transit countries
  • Special partnership agreements are developed with key transit countries, but are costly and do not work equally well

C2 (Mediator)

Broad adoption of remote asylum application processing de-incentivises improving international agreements or conditions

  • Asylum claim processing for migrants located in transit countries (remote processing)
  • Blossoming of bilateral agreements/statements (pushing problem on other countries, status quo extended)

D (Innovator)

Developed transit country labour markets and expanded refugee sponsorship programmes

  • Improved economic and political stability of transit countries through labour market development
  • Sponsorship programmes use remote processing to pair refugees with hosts